CNet On Communicator 5.0 Delay
Wednesday October 6th, 1999
A number of people sent in links to this news of Communicator 5.0's "delay" at CNet.
According to CNet's Paul Festa, who seems unable or unwilling to write a positive Netscape piece, "Netscape is far behind its main browser competitor, Microsoft, in two areas where it once led: technology and market share. Although it commanded about 80 percent of the desktop browser market just a few years ago, Netscape is now down to a minority position." Paul goes on to cite anonymous sources who provided him with information on XUL and a new email/IM hybrid scheme.
#20 The war is far from over...
Thursday October 7th, 1999 8:46 AM
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MS has won a major battle, but there are several things that will keep Mozilla/Netscape as a major platform, and may eventually bring it back to domination:
1/ The AOL factor. Eventually AOL will switch from IE to a Mozilla-based browser. This will give massive amounts of market share to Mozilla.
2/ The Linux factor. Linux will continue to grow. Nobody can say how much of the mainstream market Linux will get, but 10% seems reasonable and you can bet that 99% of those will use Netscape/Mozilla.
3/ The Embedded market. Microsoft is trying, but they aren't really doing all that well here. Set-top boxes and palm-tops will become more popular and, although a fair number will use Wince/IE, most will be something else. All the 'something else's will use Mozilla/Gecko.
4/ Vertical markets and Intranets. As long as Mozilla is large enough that content providors must cater to it, vertical market developers and corporate Intranets will be able to choose between IE and Netscape. A significant number will base that decision on technical grounds. As long as Mozilla is technically superior, it will get a good share of this market.