Mozilla's Global Usage Share Now at 1.1 Percent
Monday December 16th, 2002
Tyrannosaurus Moz writes: "According to OneStat.com, Mozilla has achieved 1.1% usage, up 0.3% from 0.8% in September. If you count Netscape 7 as Mozilla (it is) then Mozilla-based browsers now control about 1.7% of the Web browser market." Internet Explorer is still the number one browser with a 95% usage share but Mozilla has now overtaken Opera as the third most popular browser, behind Netscape (all versions) with 3%.
I don't see a mention of Mozilla or Gecko on the page you listed. Even if it does, it is not the case that Google's users are necessarily randomly distributed among the Internet population, making Google's userbase an inappropriate sample of the Internet as a whole.
Even if we ignore that issue, the rate of the last three months of growth of Mozilla's userbase is more likely to be representative of future growth than the rate of the past year. During the last 12 months, a lot has happened. Notably, the releases of Mozilla 1.0 and Netscape 7.0 have occurred. These are important events that would be inappropriately played down by any current data with a period of one year.
I'm not at all convinced that Mozilla's growth will start to become linear. IE's growth (if you put all versions of IE together) never became linear until it captured 90%+ of the market. Why should our growth be different?