MozillaZine

Mozilla's Global Usage Share Now at 1.1 Percent

Monday December 16th, 2002

Tyrannosaurus Moz writes: "According to OneStat.com, Mozilla has achieved 1.1% usage, up 0.3% from 0.8% in September. If you count Netscape 7 as Mozilla (it is) then Mozilla-based browsers now control about 1.7% of the Web browser market." Internet Explorer is still the number one browser with a 95% usage share but Mozilla has now overtaken Opera as the third most popular browser, behind Netscape (all versions) with 3%.


#35 Re: Not that fast

by schapel

Monday December 16th, 2002 4:43 PM

You are replying to this message

A little less than one year ago, Gecko-based browsers had about 1% of the market. Now they have almost 2%. The longer term growth is closer to doubling each year. That means 4% share in 2003, 8% in 2004, 16% in 2005, 32% in 2006.

But this is assuming the exponential growth curve will continue. A more realistic expectation is that the exponential growth will turn linear some time below 50% (maybe well below 50%) and even become less than linear after that. Look at the growth of IE 6 at <http://www.google.com/pre…eist/zeitgeist-oct02.html> for example. The growth was exponential near the end of 2001, was linear through the first half of 2002, and has been slowing down in the last half of 2002. And IE 6 usage has just recently become only 50%.